0x2A02cdfC252a9562205bB950fD38bcA6166c8146-1773134995506
0x2a02cdfc252a9562205bb950fd38bca6166c8146
- Realised P&L
- $-149.42
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $5.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.197 | $5.55 | −$14.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.15at 0.670US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$12.79at 0.610Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$9.76at 0.804US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$6.07at 0.592Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$5.65at 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 15:48 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 07:58 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.8299999701 | $20.00 |
| 03-30 07:57 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9279048482 | $20.00 |
| 03-30 06:35 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.986 | $44.14 |
| 03-18 07:26 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 07:26 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 07:26 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 03-17 07:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 07:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 07:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 03-11 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6890049511 | $4.89 |
| 03-11 16:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3290048318 | $0.98 |
| 03-11 16:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $4.97 |