PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

masterpotater

0x4605e3ed6e1114a44d14257c3e213a5642f907e6

Realised P&L
$-135.34
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$51.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.2920.550$14.64+$6.87
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes0.3080.505$13.21+$5.15
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · Yes0.1740.487$13.08+$8.40
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.3500.183$4.77−$4.33
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.0640.086$2.28+$0.59
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.1660.072$1.91−$2.51
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.1200.032$0.82−$2.30
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? · Yes0.2180.018$0.49−$5.23
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.1200.006$0.16−$2.96
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? · Yes0.1040.004$0.10−$2.63
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? · Yes0.0500.003$0.07−$1.27
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? · Yes0.0490.003$0.07−$1.23
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.1000.002$0.04−$2.56
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 3? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$4.40
Will XRP reach $1.45 on September 3? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 12:37Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?SELL0.7$35.00
09-12 12:37Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?SELL0.4$20.00
09-11 17:00Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13?SELL0.838$8.55
09-11 12:45Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 11?SELL0.66$13.20
09-11 12:45Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 11?SELL0.88$17.60
09-09 14:15Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 9?SELL0.91$18.20
09-09 14:15Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 9?SELL0.84$16.80
09-09 14:15Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 9?SELL0.94$18.80
08-01 15:13Will "The Pitt" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.13$2.08
08-01 15:13Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.1434262465$2.40
08-01 15:13Will "The Pitt" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys?BUY0.13$2.08
08-01 15:13Will "The Pitt" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.15$2.40
08-01 15:13Will "The Pitt" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.1086911668$1.76
08-01 15:13Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.22$3.52
07-23 15:46Hibernian FC leading at halftime?BUY0.45$7.20