PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

yiuyoo

0x21a3b59a4ce433171af26be29d5b5242bad09e97

Realised P&L
$602.29
Volume
$139.1k
Markets traded
1,230
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,230
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3910.565$929.26+$285.60
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4500.415$682.67$57.84
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.815$240.40+$113.55
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · Yes0.2750.490$95.55+$41.84
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4450.645$77.40+$24.00
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.8920.921$36.84+$1.17
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.3230.450$33.75+$9.50
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · Yes0.1860.160$31.20$5.10
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.6230.665$29.93+$1.89
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive? · Yes0.4740.849$29.71+$13.12
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · Yes0.2620.150$29.25$21.87
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.2520.405$26.32+$9.98
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · Yes0.1330.120$23.40$2.45
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3560.190$22.80$19.91
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.3260.345$22.42+$1.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 05:38Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?BUY0.26$1.30
06-19 05:38Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?BUY0.048$0.24
06-19 05:38Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?BUY0.065$0.33
06-19 05:38Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?BUY0.14$0.70
06-19 03:28Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?BUY0.5$2.50
06-19 03:28Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?BUY0.092$0.46
06-19 03:28Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?BUY0.026$0.13
06-19 03:28Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?BUY0.19$0.95
06-19 03:28Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?BUY0.19$0.95
06-19 03:27Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?BUY0.092$0.46
06-19 03:27Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?BUY0.19$0.95
06-19 03:27Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?BUY0.026$0.13
06-19 03:27Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?BUY0.19$0.95
06-19 03:27Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?BUY0.5$2.50
06-19 03:27Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?BUY0.026$0.13