PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kAmweijR

0xe4be3a0788961db3ece918e48bd667fb28053b28

Realised P&L
$-287.18
Volume
$16.9k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.7670.915$1.2k+$187.17
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.966$965.50+$25.50
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9300.905$922.46$25.48
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · No0.8870.948$641.41+$41.41
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? · No0.9570.996$298.65+$11.63
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9000.969$193.70+$13.70
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9840.981$92.17$0.33
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · Yes0.4960.187$37.40$61.78
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · Yes0.8320.034$7.17$170.96
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? · No0.8800.000$0.00$176.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.9200.000$0.00$368.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 10:04US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.93$947.94
05-25 14:52Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?BUY0.976$478.24
05-25 14:50Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?BUY0.8867979204$600.00
05-25 14:50Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?BUY0.6556846972$500.00
01-02 20:33Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.984$92.50
01-02 20:32Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?SELL0.897121$89.71
01-02 10:30Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?BUY0.88$396.00
01-02 10:14AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?BUY0.8323831776$178.13
01-02 10:13Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.8925$89.25
01-02 10:10Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.9$180.00
01-02 10:07AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?BUY0.96486177$964.86
01-02 10:03Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?BUY0.9566444649$280.08
01-02 10:01Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?BUY0.4958775$99.18
01-02 09:53Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.98458615$196.92
01-02 09:52Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?BUY0.88$176.00