PolyBot

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Traders

387411007415611814092217897387

0xa49b6ea0a604c581f2a9569db42c192b1c487054

Realised P&L
$101.5k
Volume
$22.30M
Markets traded
32,973
Open portfolio
$18.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded32,973
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1560.439$3.9k+$2.5k
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? · No0.5400.825$2.2k+$759.55
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.9710.978$1.0k+$6.96
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? · No0.8500.895$977.04+$49.13
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.8590.960$782.27+$82.27
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7190.825$714.08+$91.83
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? · Yes0.0420.952$670.22+$640.95
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8210.925$562.34+$63.05
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5370.961$487.54+$214.94
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4970.630$365.46+$76.99
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · No0.9460.998$316.09+$16.47
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? · No0.8210.996$262.16+$46.18
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4680.830$246.11+$107.24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · No0.9620.983$241.77+$5.17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9370.964$235.56+$6.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 11:35Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?BUY0.975$48.75
10-16 11:35Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?BUY0.976$117.12
09-15 21:53Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.004$0.18
09-15 21:53Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.05$0.53
09-15 21:43Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.004$0.18
09-15 21:43Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.051$2.31
09-15 21:32Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.004$0.18
09-15 21:32Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.052$2.43
09-15 21:21Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.052$2.44
09-15 21:21Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.004$0.18
09-15 21:11Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.004$0.17
09-15 21:11Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.05$2.34
09-15 21:01Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.004$0.17
09-15 20:50Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.021$0.96
09-15 20:50Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.004$0.18