387411007415611814092217897387
0xa49b6ea0a604c581f2a9569db42c192b1c487054
- Realised P&L
- $101.5k
- Volume
- $22.30M
- Markets traded
- 32,973
- Open portfolio
- $18.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded32,973
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.5kat 0.094Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
- +$15.7kat 0.119Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$9.7kat 0.153Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$8.4kat 0.116Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$7.6kat 0.056Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 11:35 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.975 | $48.75 |
| 10-16 11:35 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.976 | $117.12 |
| 09-15 21:53 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.18 |
| 09-15 21:53 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.53 |
| 09-15 21:43 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.18 |
| 09-15 21:43 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.051 | $2.31 |
| 09-15 21:32 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.18 |
| 09-15 21:32 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.052 | $2.43 |
| 09-15 21:21 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.052 | $2.44 |
| 09-15 21:21 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.18 |
| 09-15 21:11 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.17 |
| 09-15 21:11 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.34 |
| 09-15 21:01 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.17 |
| 09-15 20:50 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.96 |
| 09-15 20:50 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.18 |