PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Skaliz

0x4ba4466ba485e8c18948a0a80ce4c9db05718a89

Realised P&L
$15.5k
Volume
$3.56M
Markets traded
1,454
Open portfolio
$13.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,454
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9430.925$3.9k−$75.77
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1200.135$1.9k+$210.01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.6250.985$1.0k+$376.03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · No0.9110.970$969.49+$58.50
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? · No0.9700.979$915.25+$8.41
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · No0.9010.946$909.25+$43.25
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.9380.980$874.49+$37.54
ECB rate cut in 2026? · No0.4780.975$487.25+$248.08
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9700.976$292.65+$1.65
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.1460.105$246.78−$94.16
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? · No0.9610.976$195.20+$3.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8600.966$193.10+$21.10
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.5000.425$170.00−$30.00
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2420.140$164.14−$119.78
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? · No0.9420.980$156.80+$6.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 09:50Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.3176803724$40.95
10-28 09:50Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.66$7.92
10-28 09:50Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.65$27.29
10-28 09:44Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.298074922$114.58
10-27 16:09Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.2190933491$204.07
10-27 16:08Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?SELL0.9$1.3k
10-27 12:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.992$3.0k
10-27 12:47Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.998$13.7k
10-16 14:29Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.4618977819$45.19
10-16 14:29Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0466242635$249.20
10-16 09:35Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.986$4.0k
10-06 12:20Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.94$313.96
10-05 07:09Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.68$13.74
10-05 07:06Spain snap election called in 2026?BUY0.14$7.27
10-04 07:21Spain snap election called by October 31?BUY0.5$400.63