Skaliz
0x4ba4466ba485e8c18948a0a80ce4c9db05718a89
- Realised P&L
- $16.7k
- Volume
- $3.52M
- Markets traded
- 1,423
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,423
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.0kat 0.823Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
- +$5.5kat 0.524US recession in 2025?
- +$3.5kat 0.135Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$3.2kat 0.177Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$3.1kat 0.317Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 15:26 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.7475605214 | $32.12 |
| 07-15 15:26 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.745 | $5.24 |
| 07-13 16:21 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.388 | $388.00 |
| 07-10 13:13 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.386 | $386.00 |
| 07-07 07:27 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.978 | $489.00 |
| 07-06 08:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.169 | $84.50 |
| 07-03 23:22 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.2k |
| 07-03 23:19 | Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.89 | $71.51 |
| 07-03 23:16 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.968 | $2.9k |
| 06-29 10:47 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.509009009 | $56.50 |
| 06-26 12:56 | Will England win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 06-26 11:17 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.52 | $260.00 |
| 06-24 14:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.6k |
| 06-23 10:43 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.965 | $965.00 |
| 06-22 08:35 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $619.39 |