Skaliz
0x4ba4466ba485e8c18948a0a80ce4c9db05718a89
- Realised P&L
- $15.5k
- Volume
- $3.56M
- Markets traded
- 1,454
- Open portfolio
- $13.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,454
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.0kat 0.823Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
- +$5.5kat 0.524US recession in 2025?
- +$3.5kat 0.135Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$3.2kat 0.177Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$3.1kat 0.317Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 09:50 | Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.3176803724 | $40.95 |
| 10-28 09:50 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.66 | $7.92 |
| 10-28 09:50 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.65 | $27.29 |
| 10-28 09:44 | Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.298074922 | $114.58 |
| 10-27 16:09 | Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2190933491 | $204.07 |
| 10-27 16:08 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.3k |
| 10-27 12:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $3.0k |
| 10-27 12:47 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.7k |
| 10-16 14:29 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.4618977819 | $45.19 |
| 10-16 14:29 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0466242635 | $249.20 |
| 10-16 09:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $4.0k |
| 10-06 12:20 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $313.96 |
| 10-05 07:09 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.74 |
| 10-05 07:06 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.27 |
| 10-04 07:21 | Spain snap election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $400.63 |