PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Skaliz

0x4ba4466ba485e8c18948a0a80ce4c9db05718a89

Realised P&L
$16.7k
Volume
$3.52M
Markets traded
1,423
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,423
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.6250.962$1.0k+$351.47
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · No0.9110.979$978.49+$67.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · No0.9010.974$935.68+$69.68
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.9080.984$535.49+$41.39
ECB rate cut in 2026? · No0.4780.910$455.00+$215.83
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9700.984$295.05+$4.05
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8600.935$187.00+$15.00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8000.955$132.36+$21.48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? · No0.9260.979$71.03+$3.84
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1950.027$62.50$389.91
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7500.905$45.25+$7.75
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9590.176$35.11$155.68
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? · No0.8500.946$24.66+$2.49
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.5200.455$22.75$3.25
GTA VI released before November 2026? · Yes0.1350.030$20.88$73.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 15:26Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.7475605214$32.12
07-15 15:26Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.745$5.24
07-13 16:21Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.388$388.00
07-10 13:13Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.386$386.00
07-07 07:27Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.978$489.00
07-06 08:01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.169$84.50
07-03 23:22Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.39$1.2k
07-03 23:19Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?BUY0.89$71.51
07-03 23:16Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.968$2.9k
06-29 10:47Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.509009009$56.50
06-26 12:56Will England win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.85$85.00
06-26 11:17Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.52$260.00
06-24 14:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?BUY0.995$6.6k
06-23 10:43Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.965$965.00
06-22 08:35Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.999$619.39