PolyBot

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Traders

0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

0x69f0c154a3412f2b3fa7eb22c6d08e6b5b32fb27

Realised P&L
$-98.6k
Volume
$2.46M
Markets traded
41,065
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded41,065
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.6870.575$3.1k$609.89
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.8240.987$47.86+$7.90
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat? · No0.5230.945$41.81+$18.66
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.1710.232$36.76+$9.58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 18? · No0.9991.000$24.86+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 18? · No0.9900.985$22.38$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 18? · No0.8610.875$21.76+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.5110.625$20.09+$3.66
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? · No0.6680.740$18.40+$1.79
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · No0.1580.145$16.16$1.46
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? · Yes0.6300.991$15.22+$5.54
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18? · No0.9990.999$15.08$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18? · No0.9990.999$15.08$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18? · No0.9980.998$15.06$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 18? · No0.9980.996$15.04$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:52Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?BUY0.9$5.50
09-17 22:50Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17?BUY0.98$32.62
09-17 22:49Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.99$9.95
09-17 22:48Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 17?BUY0.94$3.89
09-17 22:48Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17?BUY0.51$1.96
09-17 22:42Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 17?BUY0.999$15.31
09-17 22:39Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.999$5.00
09-17 22:39Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.55$2.84
09-17 22:38Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.55$0.88
09-17 22:36Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17?BUY0.008$0.04
09-17 22:32Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.938$30.16
09-17 22:30Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.9402912621$5.81
09-17 22:29Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.999$5.09
09-17 22:24Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.999$5.04
09-17 22:24Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.998$5.09