0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354
0x69f0c154a3412f2b3fa7eb22c6d08e6b5b32fb27
- Realised P&L
- $-98.6k
- Volume
- $2.46M
- Markets traded
- 41,065
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded41,065
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.8kat 0.055Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.0kat 0.104Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$15.3kat 0.989Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.8kat 0.183Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?
- +$9.4kat 0.074Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:52 | Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.50 |
| 09-17 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $32.62 |
| 09-17 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.95 |
| 09-17 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.89 |
| 09-17 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.96 |
| 09-17 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.31 |
| 09-17 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.84 |
| 09-17 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.55 | $0.88 |
| 09-17 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 22:32 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.938 | $30.16 |
| 09-17 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9402912621 | $5.81 |
| 09-17 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 09-17 22:24 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.04 |
| 09-17 22:24 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.09 |