PolyBot

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Traders

0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

0x69f0c154a3412f2b3fa7eb22c6d08e6b5b32fb27

Realised P&L
$57.7k
Volume
$3.38M
Markets traded
57,323
Open portfolio
$5.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded57,323
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes0.8940.962$3.7k+$256.68
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.3370.333$271.81−$3.81
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat? · No0.8700.907$254.95+$10.47
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.5370.991$160.86+$73.64
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.4380.415$92.38−$5.04
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat? · No0.6200.640$51.88+$1.62
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.8240.990$48.01+$8.04
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m? · No0.2550.388$46.82+$16.02
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · No0.8870.930$44.18+$2.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on November 2? · No0.9980.998$43.93+$0.00
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat? · No0.5230.991$43.84+$20.70
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 2? · No0.9960.992$43.67−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2? · No0.9360.920$40.50−$0.71
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6000.645$39.34+$2.75
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? · No0.9090.979$31.94+$2.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:23Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.25$2.46
11-02 00:23Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.5003660886$2.60
11-02 00:15Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 2?BUY0.999$8.11
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.005$0.03
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on November 3?BUY0.999$6.10
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 3?BUY0.997$5.16
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 2?BUY0.64$6.48
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2?BUY0.12$0.38
11-02 00:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.56$4.86
11-02 00:08Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?BUY0.32$1.62
11-02 00:07Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?SELL0.999$24.94
11-02 00:04Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.02$0.10
11-02 00:04Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.02$0.10
11-02 00:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.004$0.02
11-02 00:02Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.13$0.66