0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354
0x69f0c154a3412f2b3fa7eb22c6d08e6b5b32fb27
- Realised P&L
- $57.7k
- Volume
- $3.38M
- Markets traded
- 57,323
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded57,323
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.8kat 0.055Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$39.9kat 0.851Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$36.0kat 0.104Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$28.8kat 0.012Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$15.3kat 0.989Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.46 |
| 11-02 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5003660886 | $2.60 |
| 11-02 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.11 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.10 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.16 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.48 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.38 |
| 11-02 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.86 |
| 11-02 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.62 |
| 11-02 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.94 |
| 11-02 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 11-02 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 11-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 11-02 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.66 |