PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBadB335418eF11cdA8D40C48Fa5862bF7DfF8b57-1783025395698

0xbadb335418ef11cda8d40c48fa5862bf7dff8b57

Realised P&L
$-110.44
Volume
$861.61
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$142.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? · No0.7100.895$47.27+$9.77
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? · No0.5000.535$40.13+$2.63
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? · Yes0.4800.465$36.33$1.17
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.2600.105$15.14$22.35
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · Yes0.6800.197$3.96$9.72
Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$25.77
Netanyahu out by July 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.00
Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$23.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 19:42Will REBORN Win Emea Challengers StageSELL0.0334894504$2.73
07-04 19:42Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?SELL0.08$1.15
07-04 19:25Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?SELL0.27$1.44
07-04 19:09Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?SELL0.7$14.47
07-04 17:11Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?SELL0.7$0.70
07-04 17:11Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?SELL0.28$2.66
07-03 21:10Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?SELL0.69$0.69
07-03 20:37Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?SELL0.7$0.70
07-03 18:37Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?SELL0.66$0.66
07-03 14:46Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?SELL0.66$0.66
07-03 14:16Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?SELL0.66$2.13
07-03 14:15Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?SELL0.66$1.32
07-03 09:17Netanyahu out by July 31?BUY0.0120000002$1.00