Rickson83
0xad95470e57284c664af12582a2e1d66b7f828e7f
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $298.0k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 1.000 | $531.91 | +$31.92 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? · No | 0.964 | 0.996 | $516.21 | +$16.21 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No | 0.901 | 0.921 | $511.05 | +$11.29 |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? · No | 0.989 | 1.000 | $505.72 | +$5.72 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No | 0.947 | 0.936 | $494.21 | −$5.79 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · Yes | 0.782 | 0.197 | $251.79 | −$748.20 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.368 | 0.512 | $139.27 | +$39.27 |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · No | 0.802 | 1.000 | $124.69 | +$24.69 |
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? · No | 0.796 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.517Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$1.2kat 0.895Yoon arrested by Friday?
- +$835.32at 0.906Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
- +$376.51at 0.210Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
- +$284.62at 0.260Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 01:48 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.9011475711 | $499.76 |
| 05-12 01:48 | Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? | BUY | 0.9886836202 | $500.00 |
| 04-10 22:33 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL | 0.12 | $16.67 |
| 04-08 14:00 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.9849999962 | $100.00 |
| 04-04 12:25 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 04-04 12:24 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3679999983 | $100.00 |
| 04-04 07:43 | Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $500.00 |
| 03-14 00:11 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.1000066 | $227.29 |
| 01-21 21:37 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.9474702544 | $500.00 |
| 01-21 21:35 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | BUY | 0.9133266733 | $500.00 |
| 01-21 21:35 | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $51.10 |
| 01-18 07:29 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999997 | $500.00 |
| 01-17 23:26 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? | BUY | 0.9642348397 | $500.00 |
| 01-15 07:56 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | BUY | 0.6842795665 | $500.00 |
| 01-15 07:54 | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.9733332537 | $500.00 |