Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 100 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.274. down 0.035 over the period, from 0.309. Range 0.255 to 0.633. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.287	120	120
0.290	136	256
0.291	1,317	1,573
0.294	222	1,795
0.295	109	1,904
0.296	1,050	2,954
0.297	2,200	5,154
0.299	1,263	6,417
0.300	100	6,517
0.356	1,000	7,517
0.426	1,000	8,517
0.516	1,000	9,517

Spread0.026Mid0.274

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.261	120	120
0.260	100	220
0.257	480	700
0.256	114	814
0.254	100	914
0.253	150	1,064
0.252	1,149	2,213
0.251	2,200	4,413
0.250	100	4,513
0.249	1,200	5,713
0.247	167	5,880
0.232	1,000	6,880

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.739	120	120
0.740	100	220
0.743	480	700
0.744	114	814
0.746	100	914
0.747	150	1,064
0.748	1,149	2,213
0.749	2,200	4,413
0.750	100	4,513
0.751	1,200	5,713
0.753	167	5,880
0.768	1,000	6,880

Spread0.026Mid0.726

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.713	120	120
0.710	136	256
0.709	1,317	1,573
0.706	222	1,795
0.705	109	1,904
0.704	1,050	2,954
0.703	2,200	5,154
0.701	1,263	6,417
0.700	100	6,517
0.644	1,000	7,517
0.574	1,000	8,517
0.484	1,000	9,517

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	3,331.74
e46m3	Yes	1,821.38
0x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-1735227193318	Yes	706.57
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	600
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	124.6
lissartter	Yes	119.28
pinner	Yes	77.16
planktonXD	Yes	17.62
0xcda6…9770	Yes	16.92
Sui007	Yes	16
winexecutescale	Yes	16
tmilinovic	Yes	10.37
Norso21	Yes	6.75
0x6e1e…98fc	Yes	3.77
prodset	No	2,819.06
wagwanshawty	No	2,099.55
Haradwaith	No	391.64
Car	No	373.54
ScottyNooo	No	277.53
Cornishon	No	200.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:26:27	SELL	No	0.745	23	$17.14
21:19:22	SELL	No	0.782	22	$17.20
21:19:22	SELL	No	0.782	36	$28.15
21:03:24	SELL	No	0.753	19	$14.31
21:03:24	SELL	No	0.753	66	$49.70
20:43:04	SELL	No	0.741	15	$11.12
18:10:10	BUY	No	0.718	5	$3.59
17:23:13	SELL	No	0.691	1	$0.95
14:48:27	BUY	No	0.718	15	$10.77
04:32:37	BUY	No	0.73	15	$10.95
03:34:27	SELL	No	0.711	80	$56.88
03:34:27	SELL	No	0.711	15	$10.66
01:51:58	SELL	No	0.703	100	$70.30
23:47:30	SELL	No	0.707	44	$31.11
23:28:30	SELL	No	0.704	80	$56.32
21:37:24	SELL	Yes	0.275	0	$0.03
21:35:54	SELL	Yes	0.275	100	$27.50
21:35:52	SELL	Yes	0.2835040363	613	$173.84
21:35:52	BUY	No	0.7249999982	84	$60.76
21:35:52	BUY	No	0.724999997	17	$11.98
21:35:52	BUY	No	0.725	200	$145.00
21:09:42	BUY	No	0.7249999686	5	$3.46
21:09:39	BUY	No	0.7249999945	46	$33.10
21:09:37	BUY	No	0.7249234365	609	$441.79
16:46:25	BUY	No	0.689	100	$68.97