Car
0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b
- Realised P&L
- $1.54M
- Volume
- $191.18M
- Markets traded
- 9,136
- Open portfolio
- $729.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,136
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.5kat 0.990US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$37.3kat 0.844US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$33.1kat 0.014Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$32.0kat 0.003Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$31.5kat 0.005MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:11 | Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.0147506819 | $2.70 |
| 11-01 17:07 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.73 |
| 11-01 17:02 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $65.14 |
| 11-01 17:02 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $788.75 |
| 11-01 16:57 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $538.35 |
| 11-01 16:57 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $532.80 |
| 11-01 14:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $275.21 |
| 11-01 04:32 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.0855239733 | $111.18 |
| 11-01 03:42 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 03:42 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.82 | $1.8k |
| 11-01 03:28 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.1070662274 | $64.67 |
| 11-01 03:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | SELL | 0.11 | $122.21 |
| 11-01 03:12 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.6k |
| 11-01 03:12 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.107005 | $132.04 |
| 11-01 01:57 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $20.88 |