Norso21
0x17fcc21babe7785148121f48175fcb1326fccaf4
- Realised P&L
- $-83.11
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $278.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.71at 0.324Will SC Recife win on 2026-10-01?
- +$18.05at 0.130Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$17.35at 0.397Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?
- +$16.49at 0.382Spread: Grêmio Novorizontino (-1.5)
- +$16.04at 0.683Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:37 | São Paulo FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $4.79 |
| 10-02 22:32 | São Paulo FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $4.89 |
| 10-02 22:22 | São Paulo FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 22:12 | São Paulo FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $4.89 |
| 10-02 21:09 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.94 |
| 10-02 20:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.94 |
| 10-02 19:00 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 18:55 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.91 |
| 10-02 18:50 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.13 |
| 10-02 15:32 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-02 14:51 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 10-02 14:31 | China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-02 14:21 | China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-02 09:59 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $4.83 |
| 10-02 09:59 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.573 | $4.90 |