lissartter
0x1cfc260bfa2b5ae89377863180ca3b4f5c862111
- Realised P&L
- $-234.1k
- Volume
- $89.90M
- Markets traded
- 18,377
- Open portfolio
- $191.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18,377
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.5kat 0.857Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$80.0kat 0.227Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$77.1kat 0.055Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$41.3kat 0.530Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$33.4kat 0.817Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.008 | $759.75 |
| 09-14 02:16 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $20.46 |
| 09-12 08:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $506.57 |
| 09-12 08:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $320.68 |
| 09-09 23:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0060067287 | $253.87 |
| 09-09 23:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $126.79 |
| 09-09 23:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $42.26 |
| 09-06 02:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0060018642 | $324.21 |
| 09-06 02:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $278.21 |
| 09-06 02:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $92.74 |
| 09-01 12:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $523.50 |
| 09-01 12:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.005 | $493.32 |
| 09-01 12:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $197.33 |
| 08-28 14:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 14:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.01 | $267.59 |