lissartter
0x1cfc260bfa2b5ae89377863180ca3b4f5c862111
- Realised P&L
- $-311.7k
- Volume
- $96.74M
- Markets traded
- 20,614
- Open portfolio
- $192.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded20,614
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.3kat 0.749Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$80.0kat 0.227Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$58.2kat 0.782Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$33.6kat 0.817Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$30.9kat 0.201Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:51 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? | BUY | 0.06 | $7.20 |
| 10-27 20:20 | Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 10-27 13:57 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $8.02 |
| 10-25 23:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.06 | $300.00 |
| 10-24 21:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 10-20 09:48 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.71 | $313.45 |
| 10-19 13:59 | Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? | SELL | 0.073 | $3.65 |
| 10-18 02:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $94.10 |
| 10-18 02:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $31.89 |
| 10-11 00:12 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.249 | $12.45 |
| 10-06 00:03 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $8.61 |
| 10-04 20:26 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.55 | $82.50 |
| 09-26 12:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.008 | $722.53 |
| 09-26 12:53 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $408.57 |
| 09-26 12:53 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $204.28 |