0x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-1735227193318
0x7272c0d9478ef6447f48a20a7db2839a61a4a67d
- Realised P&L
- $20.9k
- Volume
- $120.8k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.497Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$4.7kat 0.680Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$2.3kat 0.650Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.473 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.300US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 08:14 | Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 10-10 07:20 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.14 |
| 10-10 07:17 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.136 | $9.66 |
| 10-09 08:14 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? | BUY | 0.65 | $93.69 |
| 10-08 17:19 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m? | BUY | 0.69 | $345.00 |
| 10-08 09:08 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $236.84 |
| 10-08 09:06 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%? | BUY | 0.614 | $12.28 |
| 10-07 07:42 | Cornell President out by October 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 10-06 13:35 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $28.83 |
| 10-06 08:02 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $135.00 |
| 10-05 09:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $32.90 |
| 10-04 18:05 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $67.83 |
| 10-04 13:50 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $45.50 |
| 10-04 13:47 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $310.00 |
| 10-04 12:03 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $48.28 |