PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SmartBoyBilly

0x1491f3faea8f55eb683eea438d4d6367eb84fd70

Realised P&L
$-9.9k
Volume
$666.0k
Markets traded
5,607
Open portfolio
$110.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,607
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration78.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 23:40Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?SELL0.16$19.92
10-18 16:08Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?SELL0.1750003315$131.96
10-17 15:05Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?SELL0.2012365984$162.73
10-14 03:59Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?SELL0.045$27.00
07-20 01:08NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21?SELL0.001$0.20
07-18 14:12Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?SELL0.26$15.60
07-18 02:42Will Daisies be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?SELL0.25$3.99
07-17 22:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?SELL0.214$42.80