SmartBoyBilly
0x1491f3faea8f55eb683eea438d4d6367eb84fd70
- Realised P&L
- $-9.9k
- Volume
- $666.0k
- Markets traded
- 5,607
- Open portfolio
- $110.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,607
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$648.00at 0.280J.K. Dobbins: Anytime Touchdown
- +$570.57at 0.430George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown
- +$520.25at 0.033Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?
- +$370.01at 0.630Malik Nabers: Anytime Touchdown
- +$304.49at 0.570David Montgomery: Anytime Touchdown
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 23:40 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $19.92 |
| 10-18 16:08 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.1750003315 | $131.96 |
| 10-17 15:05 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2012365984 | $162.73 |
| 10-14 03:59 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $27.00 |
| 07-20 01:08 | NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-18 14:12 | Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1? | SELL | 0.26 | $15.60 |
| 07-18 02:42 | Will Daisies be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.99 |
| 07-17 22:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.214 | $42.80 |