ScottyNooo
0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35
- Realised P&L
- $909.6k
- Volume
- $148.08M
- Markets traded
- 3,562
- Open portfolio
- $361.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,562
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$476.6kat 0.903US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$416.2kat 0.002Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$244.9kat 0.541Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$233.0kat 0.014Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$227.0kat 0.002US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:11 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.438 | $51.34 |
| 11-01 05:23 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.016 | $53.52 |
| 11-01 04:46 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $19.74 |
| 11-01 04:46 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0279841523 | $9.31 |
| 11-01 04:46 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0294775631 | $25.03 |
| 11-01 04:08 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.69 | $357.70 |
| 11-01 04:02 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.04 | $110.14 |
| 11-01 04:01 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $67.89 |
| 11-01 04:00 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $248.20 |
| 11-01 04:00 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $243.09 |
| 11-01 03:59 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.42 | $210.00 |
| 11-01 03:59 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.421 | $36.40 |
| 10-31 19:07 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $21.39 |
| 10-31 19:07 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.13 |
| 10-31 19:06 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $19.83 |