prodset
0x4d5781ee7752323392f81388365b85d5a4978620
- Realised P&L
- $619.47
- Volume
- $195.4k
- Markets traded
- 581
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded581
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$757.86at 0.585Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31?
- +$567.13at 0.981Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9?
- +$392.65at 0.825Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 29?
- +$328.31at 0.211Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 15?
- +$249.01at 0.379Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of August 10 above $330?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:42 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-13 09:42 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-13 09:42 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 10-13 09:42 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $13.34 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $16.82 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $4.64 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.68 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.68 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $4.64 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $6.96 |