0xcda6cc41c7773a77c721c414edb99867bc089770
0xcda6cc41c7773a77c721c414edb99867bc089770
- Realised P&L
- $5.36
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $81.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.46at 0.320Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$4.64at 0.607Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- +$4.39at 0.340Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
- +$4.09at 0.360US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
- +$3.37at 0.740Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3399999963 | $12.98 |
| 11-01 18:44 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.992 | $13.38 |
| 11-01 10:04 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8099999834 | $6.83 |
| 11-01 10:03 | Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31? | SELL | 0.945 | $6.81 |
| 11-01 06:41 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6799999367 | $3.44 |
| 11-01 06:40 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | SELL | 0.301 | $1.52 |
| 11-01 06:38 | Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? | SELL | 0.0376842105 | $2.13 |
| 11-01 06:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.2799999988 | $9.48 |
| 11-01 06:24 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.98 |
| 10-31 21:15 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.31 |
| 10-31 08:04 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.39 |
| 10-31 08:03 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.14 |
| 10-31 07:24 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999788 | $4.65 |
| 10-31 07:20 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | BUY | 0.3299999387 | $1.67 |
| 10-31 07:08 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.0265 | $1.06 |