PolyBot

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Traders

0xcda6cc41c7773a77c721c414edb99867bc089770

0xcda6cc41c7773a77c721c414edb99867bc089770

Realised P&L
$5.36
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$81.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4070.355$27.69−$4.07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2100.175$16.80−$3.36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No0.2800.285$9.65+$0.17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6530.568$8.68−$1.30
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.3440.274$4.64−$1.18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2600.235$4.50−$0.48
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0550.033$2.96−$2.02
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0700.055$2.81−$0.77
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.036$2.24−$2.74
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel? · Yes0.3000.250$1.65−$0.33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.0290.003$0.18−$1.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3399999963$12.98
11-01 18:44Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.992$13.38
11-01 10:04Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.8099999834$6.83
11-01 10:03Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?SELL0.945$6.81
11-01 06:41Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.6799999367$3.44
11-01 06:40Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?SELL0.301$1.52
11-01 06:38Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?SELL0.0376842105$2.13
11-01 06:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.2799999988$9.48
11-01 06:24Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?BUY0.3$1.98
10-31 21:15Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?SELL0.38$4.31
10-31 08:04Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.02$0.39
10-31 08:03Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.012$0.14
10-31 07:24Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?BUY0.4099999788$4.65
10-31 07:20Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?BUY0.3299999387$1.67
10-31 07:08Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?BUY0.0265$1.06