tmilinovic
0x55a1e35294711fb1793626d420fbe5f13de33e82
- Realised P&L
- $-99.34
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $16.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.340 | $6.61 | +$0.19 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13? · Yes | 0.356 | 0.425 | $5.34 | +$0.87 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.405 | $3.74 | +$0.69 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 11? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.071 | $1.18 | −$5.31 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.59 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.66 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.45at 0.200Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$19.31at 0.359Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
- +$9.99at 0.396Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 October 5-11?
- +$5.29at 0.217Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
- +$4.69at 0.473Will Fred Hoiberg win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.05 |
| 10-08 19:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13? | BUY | 0.3560191083 | $4.47 |
| 10-07 15:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 11? | BUY | 0.39 | $6.49 |
| 10-06 21:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.38 | $6.29 |
| 09-01 20:18 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.36 |
| 09-01 20:18 | Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.0578799023 | $4.50 |
| 07-04 22:00 | Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.72 |
| 07-03 12:41 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.44 |
| 07-03 12:39 | Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0698427414 | $5.43 |
| 07-02 19:16 | Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.22 |
| 06-28 08:41 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.36 |
| 06-27 02:02 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.67 |
| 06-26 12:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.07 |
| 06-26 12:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? | BUY | 0.0958285616 | $5.59 |
| 06-26 06:01 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | SELL | 0.0425571747 | $4.96 |