PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tmilinovic

0x55a1e35294711fb1793626d420fbe5f13de33e82

Realised P&L
$-99.34
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$16.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.3300.340$6.61+$0.19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13? · Yes0.3560.425$5.34+$0.87
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12? · Yes0.3300.405$3.74+$0.69
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 11? · Yes0.3900.071$1.18−$5.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00−$5.59
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$6.66
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 19:10Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12?BUY0.33$3.05
10-08 19:08Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?BUY0.3560191083$4.47
10-07 15:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 11?BUY0.39$6.49
10-06 21:32Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 October 5-11?BUY0.38$6.29
09-01 20:18Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.12$3.36
09-01 20:18Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?SELL0.0578799023$4.50
07-04 22:00Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?SELL0.07$2.72
07-03 12:41Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.23$6.44
07-03 12:39Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0698427414$5.43
07-02 19:16Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?BUY0.16$6.22
06-28 08:41Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.2$6.36
06-27 02:02Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?SELL0.1$2.67
06-26 12:03Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?BUY0.19$5.07
06-26 12:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?BUY0.0958285616$5.59
06-26 06:01Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?SELL0.0425571747$4.96