pinner
0xd886e75f14699e6f63f2660eaddc0a2f1ec91746
- Realised P&L
- $-9.1k
- Volume
- $540.3k
- Markets traded
- 6,443
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,443
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$909.05at 0.600Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$610.82at 0.958Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$450.62at 0.185Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
- +$449.73at 0.160Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$370.00at 0.630Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 05-11 07:24 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.0727835651 | $458.18 |
| 05-11 03:20 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999968 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 02:40 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999999 | $500.00 |
| 02-25 14:36 | Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26? | BUY | 0.9579999998 | $3.0k |
| 02-13 09:55 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3448819628 | $400.00 |
| 02-13 09:33 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.7k |
| 02-13 09:33 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.26534934 | $265.35 |
| 02-13 09:33 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.63580414 | $635.80 |
| 02-12 22:35 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.39432409 | $394.32 |
| 02-12 22:29 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1849564101 | $144.01 |
| 01-12 06:14 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $53.87 |
| 01-09 21:30 | Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.375081 | $150.03 |
| 01-09 21:26 | Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.5997590434 | $1.3k |
| 01-09 21:10 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $340.00 |