Haradwaith
0x21ffd2b7a212a6f277ed3eca1a9f8efcbca90d71
- Realised P&L
- $17.7k
- Volume
- $124.42M
- Markets traded
- 84,482
- Open portfolio
- $275.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded84,482
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.140Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$3.6kat 0.023Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.477Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.2kat 0.910Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$2.8kat 0.031Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:31 | U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $19.20 |
| 09-16 20:09 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.773 | $23.92 |
| 09-16 17:12 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $16.51 |
| 09-16 15:28 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-16 14:02 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.757 | $30.05 |
| 09-16 14:00 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.762 | $4.17 |
| 09-16 08:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $11.25 |
| 09-16 08:06 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.54 |
| 09-16 07:12 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.083 | $2.18 |
| 09-16 07:10 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.086 | $8.60 |
| 09-16 07:09 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.092 | $6.13 |
| 09-16 06:04 | Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | SELL | 0.5 | $32.68 |
| 09-16 05:38 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $52.57 |
| 09-15 21:05 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | SELL | 0.89 | $7.07 |
| 09-15 20:19 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.99 |