Haradwaith
0x21ffd2b7a212a6f277ed3eca1a9f8efcbca90d71
- Realised P&L
- $-380.7k
- Volume
- $141.65M
- Markets traded
- 105,420
- Open portfolio
- $366.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded105,420
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.2kat 0.013Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$13.2kat 0.013Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$5.8kat 0.200Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$5.7kat 0.180Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$5.0kat 0.340Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:14 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.063 | $1.26 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.97 | $10.98 |
| 11-01 21:04 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.897 | $163.94 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.898 | $59.46 |
| 11-01 21:02 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 12%-15%? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.05 |
| 11-01 21:01 | Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.19 |
| 11-01 20:22 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.29 | $386.54 |
| 11-01 20:16 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $16.64 |
| 11-01 20:11 | Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $82.31 |
| 11-01 19:57 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $151.04 |
| 11-01 19:57 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.29 | $21.87 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $100.04 |
| 11-01 19:49 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 15%-18%? | SELL | 0.1 | $35.24 |
| 11-01 19:48 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.307 | $6.14 |
| 11-01 19:23 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.58 |