balthazar

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

✓ ClearEdge per dollar3.4%

Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.

✕ BlockerMarkets traded71,777

Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.

✕ BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position

Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.

✓ ClearSettled sample50 positions

Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.

? Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%

Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

▲ CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position

Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.