wagwanshawty
0xe5714557d7e870942af0eaed188f1620fa33f17b
- Realised P&L
- $77.5k
- Volume
- $604.5k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $88.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.2kat 0.204Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$6.7kat 0.185Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.7kat 0.933Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$2.0kat 0.988Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?
- +$202.64at 0.587Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:53 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $497.00 |
| 11-01 22:12 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $260.00 |
| 11-01 22:12 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.9k |
| 11-01 22:03 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $213.00 |
| 11-01 21:18 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.5k |
| 11-01 21:12 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.988786749 | $3.8k |
| 11-01 21:08 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.987 | $75.92 |
| 11-01 21:08 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.987 | $49.36 |
| 11-01 21:07 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 21:06 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $2.1k |
| 11-01 21:05 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.989038048 | $4.9k |
| 11-01 21:02 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9983344291 | $1.8k |
| 11-01 21:02 | 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9960586843 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 21:01 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $939.56 |
| 11-01 18:39 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.9377600228 | $542.90 |