PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-09
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. up 0.006 over the period, from 0.011. Range 0.009 to 0.028. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0282525
0.029732
0.039500532
0.040100632
0.041105737
0.042100837
0.043100937
0.04520957
0.046801,037
0.047201,057
0.0531,0332,089
0.0541,0793,168

Spread0.021Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.007143143
0.005150293
0.004375668
0.003200868
0.0025,8886,756
0.00117,43824,193

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.993143143
0.995150293
0.996375668
0.997200868
0.9985,8886,756
0.99917,43824,193

Spread0.021Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9722525
0.971732
0.961500532
0.960100632
0.959105737
0.958100837
0.957100937
0.95520957
0.954801,037
0.953201,057
0.9471,0332,089
0.9461,0793,168

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
cigarettesYes14,064.73
HolyMoses7Yes11,562.76
balthazarYes3,684.79
EzzwwdYes3,127.21
ZD-ELO-M3Yes3,000
xtxpleasecallmeYes1,536.4
c231dw1Yes1,394.51
2B9SYes1,199.86
Martinus-Yes895.28
vlospaYes892.99
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes456.62
ChairmanFedYes358.67
4-testfollower-hm7Yes278.97
qcp2Yes200.84
donthackmeYes165.19
Specialist200303Yes162.35
0x02f1899C92bFdEd18542B8B815ae4CA1425d013e-1717103830230Yes103.97
mustbethewaterYes100
burge146Yes87.99
haveagooddayYes60

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:28:52BUYNo0.9973$2.66
15:49:11BUYYes0.0211,274$26.76
07:14:14BUYNo0.99436166676$5.97
02:50:19SELLYes0.0072033822290$2.09
09:45:07SELLYes0.007737520$0.15
17:19:32SELLNo0.952357142970$66.67
17:04:59BUYYes0.0307432788316$9.72
11:17:39BUYYes0.0300841209192$5.76
11:17:29BUYYes0.032262$8.38
11:17:20BUYYes0.0435924652503$21.93
11:17:14BUYYes0.0184341781438$8.07
05:44:39BUYNo0.9942$2.00
04:34:30BUYYes0.017851$14.46
02:26:54BUYYes0.016999999996$1.64
22:02:17BUYYes0.016999999959$1.01
22:02:09BUYYes0.0162135242125$2.03
17:21:32BUYYes0.014999999975$1.13
15:34:18BUYYes0.0120469358125$1.51
10:56:36BUYYes0.0092314376110$1.02
10:56:00BUYYes0.008124$0.99
10:55:59BUYYes0.008170$1.36
10:55:56BUYYes0.00839$0.31
10:54:38BUYYes0.00817$0.14
10:54:32BUYYes0.007391591124$0.18
09:57:44BUYYes0.00742$0.29