burge146
0x3187d4a73233ef3c8818ccb8d175151c46f51df4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $121.4k
- Markets traded
- 546
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded546
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.54at 0.120Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?
- +$76.19at 0.274Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$69.69at 0.230Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?
- +$64.50at 0.064Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
- +$64.03at 0.226Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:36 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-31 18:24 | Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.989 | $124.39 |
| 10-31 07:42 | Will AlloX launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $21.63 |
| 10-30 10:32 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.101 | $7.43 |
| 10-28 22:22 | Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.981 | $5.67 |
| 10-28 22:19 | Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 10-28 07:50 | Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 3.00 to 3.99 ft by November 30? | SELL | 0.103 | $8.92 |
| 10-27 20:39 | Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? | SELL | 0.302 | $11.02 |
| 10-26 09:08 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? | SELL | 0.99 | $14.51 |
| 10-26 08:56 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.78 |
| 10-26 08:55 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? | SELL | 0.9906002702 | $65.99 |
| 10-26 08:54 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? | SELL | 0.988 | $16.26 |
| 10-26 02:14 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? | SELL | 0.9965305164 | $10.61 |
| 10-26 00:19 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? | SELL | 0.99 | $43.18 |
| 10-25 16:17 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $36.66 |