PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

burge146

0x3187d4a73233ef3c8818ccb8d175151c46f51df4

Realised P&L
$-690.20
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$498.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · No0.6800.700$72.41+$2.07
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7000.685$70.64$1.55
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.5520.520$59.51$3.71
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · No0.8100.825$41.25+$0.75
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.8400.705$31.73$6.08
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.7200.725$29.99+$0.21
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.4900.485$20.61$0.21
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft? · Yes0.4380.395$20.44$2.25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.6700.785$16.23+$2.38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.2900.300$15.00+$0.50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%? · No0.8500.670$14.24$3.83
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? · No0.4470.350$12.78$3.53
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6600.615$12.72$0.93
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.580$11.99$1.24
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.4200.305$7.73$2.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 01:44Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?SELL0.86$5.16
09-15 01:36Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?SELL0.997$25.27
09-15 00:19Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$40.25
09-12 18:27Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 12?SELL0.999$68.49
09-11 14:31Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 12?BUY0.44$5.84
09-11 14:30Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 12?BUY0.44$5.28
09-11 14:19Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?BUY0.46$5.52
09-11 03:57Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12?BUY0.77$11.39
09-11 03:12Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12?BUY0.76$5.78
09-11 03:04Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12?BUY0.74$14.80
09-11 00:28Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?BUY0.36$7.20
09-11 00:28Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12?BUY0.75$15.00
09-11 00:23Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?BUY0.36$7.20
09-10 23:48Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?BUY0.35$7.00
09-10 23:47Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?BUY0.35$7.00