burge146
0x3187d4a73233ef3c8818ccb8d175151c46f51df4
- Realised P&L
- $-690.20
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $498.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.19at 0.274Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$57.68at 0.261Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$45.79at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$37.86at 0.181Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
- +$22.67at 0.471Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:44 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 09-15 01:36 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.997 | $25.27 |
| 09-15 00:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $40.25 |
| 09-12 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $68.49 |
| 09-11 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.84 |
| 09-11 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.28 |
| 09-11 14:19 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.46 | $5.52 |
| 09-11 03:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.77 | $11.39 |
| 09-11 03:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.76 | $5.78 |
| 09-11 03:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-11 00:28 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-11 00:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-11 00:23 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-10 23:48 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-10 23:47 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |