Specialist200303
0xfad93e86f82eaab2ae5d82261dd610fbeb4cf138
- Realised P&L
- $19.09
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 337
- Open portfolio
- $644.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded337
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.06at 0.052Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?
- +$133.43at 0.250Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$95.29at 0.606Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
- +$81.40at 0.418Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?
- +$43.78at 0.465Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0037765957 | $0.02 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.92 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.57 | $3.21 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0043617021 | $0.02 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.23 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C or below on October 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on October 3? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-02 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 10-02 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0335965848 | $0.31 |
| 10-02 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C or below on October 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-02 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0042742796 | $0.04 |