PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Specialist200303

0xfad93e86f82eaab2ae5d82261dd610fbeb4cf138

Realised P&L
$19.09
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
337
Open portfolio
$644.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded337
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.3750.485$83.85+$19.07
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.5330.460$79.53−$12.58
Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.3320.410$67.65+$12.80
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3070.930$54.67+$36.60
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.1960.300$49.50+$17.10
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.3590.783$35.63+$19.28
Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2500.200$33.00−$8.25
Will the PCQ win 17 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.1790.694$21.26+$15.79
Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0800.129$21.20+$7.94
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? · Yes0.6360.804$16.48+$3.44
Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0890.085$14.03−$0.62
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2300.510$13.74+$7.54
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? · Yes0.4300.775$10.71+$4.77
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? · Yes0.3020.445$9.79+$3.15
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? · Yes0.1300.795$8.07+$6.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 3?BUY0.003$0.02
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 3?BUY0.0037765957$0.02
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 3?BUY0.34$1.92
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 3?BUY0.001$0.01
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.57$3.21
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on October 3?BUY0.0043617021$0.02
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 3?BUY0.04$0.23
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 3?BUY0.005$0.03
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C or below on October 3?BUY0.001$0.01
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on October 3?BUY0.004$0.02
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 3?BUY0.001$0.01
10-02 21:11Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on October 3?BUY0.004$0.04
10-02 21:11Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 3?BUY0.0335965848$0.31
10-02 21:11Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C or below on October 3?BUY0.001$0.01
10-02 21:11Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 3?BUY0.0042742796$0.04