4-testfollower-hm7
0xe6940b14e6652d9f2c6b774e3eb4b35ceeee7e7c
- Realised P&L
- $147.61
- Volume
- $152.4k
- Markets traded
- 650
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded650
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.96at 0.558Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$130.44at 0.348Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$117.92at 0.552Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
- +$66.70at 0.536Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
- +$64.46at 0.510Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 03:30 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.71 | $10.47 |
| 09-23 17:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 09-23 17:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 17:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2999999748 | $2.38 |
| 09-23 14:47 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-23 14:47 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-23 14:47 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999839 | $9.91 |
| 09-23 14:42 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-22 23:33 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 09-22 23:14 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | BUY | 0.6499999079 | $3.53 |
| 09-22 22:31 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.33 |
| 09-22 08:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.23 |
| 09-22 08:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599999879 | $2.29 |
| 09-22 08:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599999828 | $3.20 |
| 09-22 08:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599999879 | $2.29 |