4-testfollower-hm7
0xe6940b14e6652d9f2c6b774e3eb4b35ceeee7e7c
- Realised P&L
- $164.78
- Volume
- $132.6k
- Markets traded
- 508
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded508
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$214.16at 0.555Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$41.68at 0.680Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$23.82at 0.905Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$20.62at 0.905Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
- +$20.06at 0.510Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 10:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-06 10:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999993 | $119.01 |
| 08-05 17:41 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 08-05 17:41 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.4599999912 | $13.54 |
| 08-05 17:35 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-05 17:09 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-05 17:09 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.3299999496 | $3.73 |
| 08-05 17:04 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-05 17:04 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.3899999838 | $14.44 |
| 08-05 16:49 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.2999999843 | $9.56 |
| 08-05 04:29 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-05 04:29 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $26.70 |
| 08-05 04:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.49 | $18.37 |
| 08-05 04:29 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.4600068353 | $13.46 |
| 08-05 04:29 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.5899998174 | $2.94 |