vlospa
0x5814a35f2400a2b53eab8f43a8d8ca0165c1cb14
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $87.7k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $283.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.686 | 0.750 | $129.25 | +$11.02 |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.895 | $44.02 | +$31.73 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.899 | 0.957 | $40.96 | +$2.46 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.570 | 0.280 | $39.28 | −$40.68 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.125 | $14.17 | −$34.77 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.922 | 0.046 | $5.23 | −$98.51 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 1.000 | $4.50 | +$0.27 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.130 | $3.12 | −$10.08 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.025 | $1.70 | −$16.83 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.024 | $1.43 | −$1.25 |
| Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$741.13at 0.016Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$663.53at 0.513SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
- +$372.30at 0.58076ers vs. Raptors
- +$343.50at 0.348Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
- +$274.63at 0.511Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 17:36 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.23 |
| 07-10 14:32 | Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.58 |
| 05-15 19:59 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 05-13 12:53 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.406 | $12.18 |
| 05-13 12:52 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.407 | $28.49 |
| 05-13 12:52 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $13.72 |
| 05-13 11:48 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1102537 | $11.03 |
| 05-13 11:48 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.407 | $40.70 |
| 04-17 18:25 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 04-12 13:50 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9610152835 | $22.91 |
| 04-11 11:30 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.50 |
| 04-11 01:05 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.83 |
| 04-11 01:05 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 04-09 17:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 04-08 19:16 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $35.00 |