vlospa
0x5814a35f2400a2b53eab8f43a8d8ca0165c1cb14
- Realised P&L
- $-169.67
- Volume
- $108.2k
- Markets traded
- 263
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded263
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$741.13at 0.016Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$663.53at 0.513SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
- +$437.41at 0.449Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$372.30at 0.58076ers vs. Raptors
- +$343.50at 0.348Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.72 | $23.04 |
| 10-30 19:55 | Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.8203125 | $26.25 |
| 10-30 19:55 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.35 | $11.20 |
| 10-30 19:55 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 10-30 19:55 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.15 |
| 10-30 19:55 | Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.0974 | $4.87 |
| 10-30 19:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 10-30 18:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.77 | $26.95 |
| 10-30 18:44 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.024 | $0.84 |
| 10-30 18:44 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.0618857143 | $2.17 |
| 10-30 18:44 | Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.1054342857 | $3.69 |
| 10-30 18:36 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.67 | $28.14 |
| 10-30 18:36 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.9319047619 | $39.14 |
| 10-30 18:36 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.34 | $14.28 |
| 10-30 17:45 | Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.115 | $1.05 |