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Traders

mustbethewater

0xc5187cb669690150643ba2f9aac6b7d98d212594

Realised P&L
$73.2k
Volume
$8.56M
Markets traded
54,564
Open portfolio
$11.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded54,564
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0180.602$240.80+$233.41
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes0.3330.960$230.40+$150.40
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? · Yes0.2060.879$175.90+$134.75
Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.1980.991$151.02+$120.77
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.2780.991$148.57+$106.91
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes0.2950.681$126.08+$71.41
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.1910.725$119.63+$88.03
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.2210.738$92.19+$64.52
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2020.870$86.03+$66.07
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1850.825$82.50+$64.00
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes0.2190.285$81.37+$18.92
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.1700.999$79.88+$66.28
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on November 2? · Yes0.0780.998$79.80+$73.54
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? · Yes0.1700.988$79.04+$65.42
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? · No0.9870.988$79.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 12:48Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 2?BUY0.996$19.96
11-02 12:48Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 2?BUY0.9$18.00
11-02 12:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3?BUY0.9659999958$3.24
11-02 12:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 3?BUY0.5799999941$1.95
11-02 12:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on November 3?BUY0.9969999997$6.97
11-02 12:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on November 3?BUY0.994$3.34
11-02 12:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 3?BUY0.996$3.34
11-02 12:23Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.9989999844$57.05
11-02 12:23Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on November 2?BUY0.992$28.55
11-02 12:20Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on November 3?BUY0.999$19.98
11-02 12:20Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 3?BUY0.99$19.90
11-02 12:20Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on November 3?BUY0.999$19.98
11-02 12:20Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 3?BUY0.94$18.80
11-02 12:08Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2?BUY0.6799999853$25.91
11-02 12:08Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 2?BUY0.9$16.28
Trader mustbethewater · PolyBot Pro