PolyBot

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Traders

qcp2

0xd245304a12ba711de764a45cd0912aee5ad52318

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$957.5k
Markets traded
591
Open portfolio
$927.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded591
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9690.991$124.82+$2.72
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.8190.880$51.95+$3.57
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.8350.730$50.21$7.23
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.3730.410$43.15+$3.84
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.3150.325$41.42+$1.22
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.8000.835$25.05+$1.05
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9740.985$24.37+$0.27
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9931.000$22.44+$0.16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.8200.994$19.39+$3.39
Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? · No0.7100.775$19.29+$1.63
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? · No0.7590.870$19.16+$2.44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5600.435$18.75$5.39
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes0.3770.360$17.91$0.85
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · No0.7720.988$17.25+$3.77
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2950.305$16.83+$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$0.42
09-17 01:24Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.003$2.67
09-17 00:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.006$0.05
09-17 00:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.006$0.24
09-17 00:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.45$12.02
09-17 00:27Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.38$8.00
09-17 00:27Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.83$8.20
09-17 00:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$1.39
09-17 00:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.32$8.00
09-17 00:04Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.38$8.14
09-17 00:04Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.81$8.00
09-17 00:03Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.36$8.40
09-16 23:28Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.001$0.67
09-16 23:02Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.81$8.00
09-16 23:02Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.83$8.00