qcp2
0xd245304a12ba711de764a45cd0912aee5ad52318
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $957.5k
- Markets traded
- 591
- Open portfolio
- $927.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded591
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$255.82at 0.040Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$227.77at 0.063US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$170.56at 0.399Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
- +$126.24at 0.592Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
- +$110.14at 0.089Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.42 |
| 09-17 01:24 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.67 |
| 09-17 00:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 00:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.24 |
| 09-17 00:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.45 | $12.02 |
| 09-17 00:27 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 00:27 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.20 |
| 09-17 00:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.39 |
| 09-17 00:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 00:04 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $8.14 |
| 09-17 00:04 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.36 | $8.40 |
| 09-16 23:28 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.67 |
| 09-16 23:02 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 23:02 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.00 |