PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

qcp2

0xd245304a12ba711de764a45cd0912aee5ad52318

Realised P&L
$961.02
Volume
$822.5k
Markets traded
505
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded505
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes0.3820.575$159.89+$53.79
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.5430.655$147.99+$25.25
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9680.963$113.45$0.55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.6590.886$85.47+$21.89
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9610.982$68.67+$1.45
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · No0.4270.575$61.42+$15.80
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6430.625$55.91$1.64
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9421.000$42.55+$2.45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5740.425$39.32$13.78
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.002$27.38$38.80
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.0090.019$27.34+$15.01
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0030.003$26.65$4.25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9770.989$24.94+$0.30
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.002$23.99$37.47
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.002$22.58$35.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 12:31Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.65$0.29
08-03 12:28Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$2.52
08-03 11:39Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.65$2.29
08-03 11:39Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:39Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:38Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:38Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:38Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:38Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:37Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:37Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:37Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:37Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:37Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26
08-03 11:37Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$1.26