PolyBot

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Traders

haveagoodday

0xae2a545c068389c5aab3466cecef33259e55384d

Realised P&L
$23.2k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
14,947
Open portfolio
$913.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded14,947
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New Orleans Saints finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? · Yes0.0270.496$134.06+$126.78
Will Minnesota Vikings finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? · Yes0.0270.469$96.04+$90.52
Will CeeDee Lamb finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? · Yes0.0160.161$86.94+$78.29
Will Malik Nabers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? · Yes0.0160.049$35.55+$23.81
Will Green Bay Packers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? · Yes0.0270.152$29.64+$24.38
Will Chris Olave finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? · Yes0.0160.037$19.98+$11.33
Will Washington Commanders finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? · Yes0.0270.061$16.47+$9.19
Will Indianapolis Colts finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? · Yes0.0270.056$15.12+$7.84
Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? · Yes0.0270.056$14.56+$7.54
Will Houston Texans finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? · Yes0.0270.053$14.45+$7.17
Will Emeka Egbuka finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? · Yes0.0160.017$12.46+$0.72
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on November 3? · Yes0.0910.110$12.12+$2.10
Will Drake London finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? · Yes0.0160.017$12.09+$0.35
Will Cleveland Browns finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? · Yes0.0270.043$11.47+$4.20
Will Tennessee Titans finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? · Yes0.0270.041$10.94+$3.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:16Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?BUY0.85$4.25
11-02 00:16Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.999$29.97
11-02 00:15Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.991$26.17
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 3?BUY0.77$23.10
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 3?BUY0.997$44.87
11-02 00:11Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 3?BUY0.89$26.70
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?BUY0.72$21.60
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2?BUY0.64$19.20
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on November 3?BUY0.999$29.97
11-02 00:09Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?BUY0.949$28.47
11-02 00:08Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.999$29.97
11-01 23:59Will Michael Jackson have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.999$74.92
11-01 23:58Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.006$0.75
11-01 23:53Will Gleisi Hoffmann be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?BUY0.99287896$124.11
11-01 23:52Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on November 3?BUY0.67$7.11