haveagoodday
0xae2a545c068389c5aab3466cecef33259e55384d
- Realised P&L
- $5.0k
- Volume
- $323.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,604
- Open portfolio
- $28.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,604
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$961.81at 0.080Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$673.95at 0.392Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$451.44at 0.239Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?
- +$280.55at 0.630Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$248.98at 0.053LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:14 | Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.65 |
| 09-16 05:11 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 60%-65%? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 09-16 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.86 |
| 09-16 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.8044444444 | $7.24 |
| 09-16 05:05 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-16 05:03 | Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.920862963 | $124.32 |
| 09-16 05:02 | Will Mistral be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 09-16 05:02 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 05:01 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9983888889 | $17.97 |
| 09-16 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 09-16 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |