PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

HolyMoses7

0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8

Realised P&L
$156.6k
Volume
$20.02M
Markets traded
3,512
Open portfolio
$195.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,512
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.996$172.2k+$85.7k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3950.405$5.8k+$149.40
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · No0.4920.590$2.9k+$476.56
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes0.3640.580$2.5k+$927.41
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.5960.665$2.2k+$231.56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2110.575$1.7k+$1.1k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2700.685$1.6k+$996.00
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6650.630$801.66$45.19
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.004$778.50$85.7k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.225$540.00+$60.00
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4000.435$535.80+$43.11
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3990.496$471.68+$92.21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.6680.887$439.31+$108.38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9431.000$347.29+$19.75
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0360.345$327.66+$293.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:00Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.56$42.43
08-02 22:08Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001$2.18
08-02 22:08Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001$2.17
08-02 22:08Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001$2.18
08-02 22:08Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001$2.18
08-02 22:08Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001$2.17
08-02 22:08Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001$2.18
08-02 22:08Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001$1.91
08-02 22:08Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001$2.18
08-02 22:08Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001$2.18
08-02 22:08Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001$2.18
08-02 22:08Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.001616044$3.53
08-02 22:08Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.0012928324$2.82
08-02 22:06Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.001$0.16
08-02 22:05Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$2.43