HolyMoses7
0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8
- Realised P&L
- $187.2k
- Volume
- $24.70M
- Markets traded
- 4,000
- Open portfolio
- $227.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,000
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.0kat 0.083Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$75.4kat 0.373Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$62.0kat 0.439Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$59.1kat 0.999Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
- +$37.5kat 0.706Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:28 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset? | BUY | 0.7173327223 | $39.13 |
| 11-01 15:27 | Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | BUY | 0.977 | $77.06 |
| 11-01 15:27 | Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | BUY | 0.9695645536 | $233.70 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9645072464 | $13.31 |
| 11-01 15:25 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9632232416 | $62.99 |
| 11-01 15:25 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9797305469 | $44.07 |
| 11-01 15:25 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9057975952 | $67.80 |
| 11-01 15:24 | Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats? | BUY | 0.959 | $6.71 |
| 11-01 15:23 | Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9771033317 | $121.41 |
| 11-01 15:22 | Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9698372204 | $162.18 |
| 11-01 15:22 | Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9513462204 | $247.30 |
| 11-01 15:19 | Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? | BUY | 0.976 | $2.9k |
| 11-01 15:13 | Will Gilad Kariv be the next Speaker of the Knesset? | BUY | 0.95 | $41.65 |
| 11-01 15:11 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 11-01 15:10 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |