ZD-ELO-M3
0x421f220308b4925e4233cfaeaff39ff5b65c0f9f
- Realised P&L
- $243.13
- Volume
- $35.9k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.46at 0.864Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?
- +$94.73at 0.247Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31?
- +$50.34at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on June 26?
- +$36.39at 0.552Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$19.59at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 10:02 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.799 | $71.91 |
| 09-22 02:57 | Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 09-21 14:12 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.34 |
| 09-21 08:48 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $336.60 |
| 09-21 08:15 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $108.34 |
| 09-21 08:15 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $425.00 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $470.00 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $470.00 |
| 09-01 03:03 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 08-31 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-31 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $11.50 |