0x02f1899C92bFdEd18542B8B815ae4CA1425d013e-1717103830230
0x02f1899c92bfded18542b8b815ae4ca1425d013e
- Realised P&L
- $-153.30
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $730.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.62at 0.100Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
- +$44.55at 0.101Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?
- +$31.00at 0.190Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?
- +$25.61at 0.226Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$11.08at 0.724Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 00:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-08 00:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-06 03:31 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |
| 09-06 03:30 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |
| 09-06 03:30 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |
| 09-06 03:30 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |
| 09-05 22:10 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.925 | $42.92 |
| 09-05 22:10 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.32 |
| 09-03 00:22 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.08 |
| 09-03 00:15 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.8037395659 | $187.76 |
| 09-02 15:49 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-02 01:27 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0230120041 | $5.79 |
| 09-02 01:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.214599 | $21.46 |
| 09-02 01:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0277434799 | $14.51 |
| 09-02 01:26 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $6.23 |