ChairmanFed
0x836960eba14bb3dec013fc50d2be66808db2f584
- Realised P&L
- $-34.6k
- Volume
- $351.9k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.133Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$228.89at 0.542Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?
- +$82.00at 0.720China Open: Mai Hontama vs Katie Boulter
- +$72.34at 0.072Exact Score: Lithuania 3 - 0 Andorra?
- +$33.85at 0.673Counter-Strike: Rush vs Grêmio Esports - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:21 | Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9563171629 | $608.35 |
| 10-01 05:06 | Will Korea Republic vs. Venezuela end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $8.52 |
| 10-01 04:56 | VfB Stuttgart leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 10-01 04:01 | Will Ghana win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0146148146 | $1.26 |
| 10-01 02:34 | Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.015 | $2.25 |
| 10-01 02:09 | Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw? | BUY | 0.93 | $106.60 |
| 10-01 01:42 | Will Greuther Furth win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1458064516 | $4.52 |
| 10-01 01:38 | Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Syria? | BUY | 0.992 | $6.20 |
| 10-01 01:38 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.55 |
| 10-01 01:34 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.05 |
| 10-01 01:30 | Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Syria? | BUY | 0.992 | $6.20 |
| 10-01 01:07 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.11 |
| 10-01 00:50 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0046335688 | $2.81 |
| 10-01 00:08 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.07 |
| 09-30 23:54 | Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0473320637 | $7.92 |