PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ChairmanFed

0x836960eba14bb3dec013fc50d2be66808db2f584

Realised P&L
$-34.6k
Volume
$351.9k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.9580.660$748.20−$337.74
China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz · Learner Tien0.6340.605$273.19−$12.98
Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw? · Yes0.9300.984$205.18+$11.16
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score · No0.5900.590$127.44+$0.00
Will Malta win on 2026-10-01? · No0.2400.245$99.53+$2.03
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Venezuela? · No0.9100.910$79.17+$0.00
Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.5400.540$46.50+$0.00
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.8660.860$19.55−$0.14
Exact Score: Israel 1 - 1 Kosovo? · Yes0.1400.135$14.55−$0.54
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0410.040$13.28−$0.51
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1620.164$12.80+$0.12
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Syria? · No0.9920.988$12.34−$0.06
Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.0170.022$11.36+$2.72
Will Korea Republic vs. Venezuela end in a draw? · No0.7500.740$8.41−$0.11
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.3020.295$7.96−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:21Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.9563171629$608.35
10-01 05:06Will Korea Republic vs. Venezuela end in a draw?BUY0.75$8.52
10-01 04:56VfB Stuttgart leading at halftime?BUY0.59$2.95
10-01 04:01Will Ghana win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.0146148146$1.26
10-01 02:34Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.015$2.25
10-01 02:09Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?BUY0.93$106.60
10-01 01:42Will Greuther Furth win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.1458064516$4.52
10-01 01:38Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Syria?BUY0.992$6.20
10-01 01:38Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.04$5.55
10-01 01:34Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.006$1.05
10-01 01:30Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Syria?BUY0.992$6.20
10-01 01:07Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.04$1.11
10-01 00:50Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0046335688$2.81
10-01 00:08Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.005$2.07
09-30 23:54Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.0473320637$7.92