PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.041. down 0.010 over the period, from 0.051. Range 0.035 to 0.179. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.045175175
0.046200375
0.047230605
0.04850655
0.050100755
0.0523641,119
0.0541,1542,273
0.0551,1523,425
0.05653,430
0.0603253,755
0.0611,1894,944
0.062745,018

Spread0.008Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.037200200
0.036255455
0.03580535
0.034143678
0.0303781,056
0.0292761,332
0.0281,0412,373
0.0271,1863,559
0.02653,564
0.0253003,864
0.0231033,967
0.0211604,127

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.963200200
0.964255455
0.96580535
0.966143678
0.9703781,056
0.9712761,332
0.9721,0412,373
0.9731,1863,559
0.97453,564
0.9753003,864
0.9771033,967
0.9791604,127

Spread0.008Mid0.959

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.955175175
0.954200375
0.953230605
0.95250655
0.950100755
0.9483641,119
0.9461,1542,273
0.9451,1523,425
0.94453,430
0.9403253,755
0.9391,1894,944
0.938745,018

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xAC382928a693C9C342c92feD3552E260aaCfC565-1767706089048Yes953.86
Dr.PNLYes592.7
BikesarethebestYes240
singaporeslingYes206.85
HerrieDavisYes192.37
xixihaha009Yes141.57
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes125.32
icariam06Yes125
bechamelYes100
planktonXDYes78.22
26lkkdasdsaYes76.41
0x5533…51baYes75
alebaleYes74
AJSVYes67.84
gfdgfvfvssddYes60
LornaPredictsYes55.1
0x888888888Yes50
phkzYes50
Caelum-TangYes42.28
tradetosurvive1Yes36.65

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:24:36BUYNo0.96325100$96.33
16:30:07SELLYes0.035340482622$0.79
15:05:13BUYNo0.95515$14.32
14:57:22SELLYes0.04550$2.25
14:57:13SELLYes0.045461538565$2.96
14:57:06SELLYes0.04550$2.25
14:45:51SELLNo0.95750$47.85
14:44:24BUYYes0.034399976250$8.60
14:37:15SELLYes0.03314$0.46
06:04:19SELLYes0.03616$0.58
03:32:51SELLYes0.03650$1.80
21:35:22SELLYes0.03650$1.80
19:11:16SELLYes0.03116$0.50
19:10:52SELLYes0.03440$1.36
19:10:28SELLYes0.03240$1.28
19:10:22BUYYes0.032103$3.28
19:09:16SELLYes0.036$0.17
19:09:13SELLYes0.02967$1.94
19:09:06SELLYes0.02937$1.08
19:08:51SELLYes0.03544$1.55
19:08:49SELLYes0.0356$0.21
19:08:49SELLYes0.03933$1.29
19:08:43SELLYes0.04713$0.60
19:08:42SELLYes0.049156850$2.46
19:08:40SELLYes0.054$0.19