PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

GuyFromTinder

0x2b9d677d75d42c4f08624816e298d251e8c795f4

Realised P&L
$-56.1k
Volume
$1.95M
Markets traded
7,634
Open portfolio
$37.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,634
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%? · Yes0.4260.999$295.06+$169.08
Will CD Leganes be promoted to LaLiga? · No0.8500.725$217.83$37.56
Will the Liberals (L) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.8601.000$199.90+$27.90
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.9400.973$194.60+$6.60
Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election? · No0.5460.560$171.02+$4.34
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? · No0.5050.520$170.73+$4.77
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? · No0.5880.525$170.01$20.47
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.5960.550$159.37$13.45
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? · Yes0.9340.975$146.89+$6.20
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.7690.745$145.94$4.78
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.4440.981$141.54+$77.39
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? · Yes0.6030.931$130.13+$45.90
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? · No0.6550.615$123.93$8.15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election? · No0.6820.580$121.27$21.32
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · No0.4630.456$119.92$1.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:22Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?SELL0.3$4.50
09-14 13:17Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.2$32.55
09-10 00:19Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?BUY0.031$0.20
09-02 11:11Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.8598333333$51.59
09-02 11:08Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.79$3.95
09-02 11:08Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?SELL0.1597198689$37.52
09-02 11:03Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.839$4.20
09-02 11:02Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.22$2.11
09-02 11:02Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.2046433333$24.56
09-02 11:01Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.18$3.60
09-02 11:01Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.17$3.40
09-02 11:00Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.1757151022$12.30
09-02 10:59Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.1595$3.19
09-02 10:56Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?SELL0.12275$4.91
09-02 10:55Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.205$1.23