843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.
0x843cc4c8e6dc29a4581126660814b0a6ef6a0734
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $621.2k
- Markets traded
- 4,139
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,139
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.82at 0.005Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?
- +$80.48at 0.049Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
- +$37.72at 0.001Will Isaiah Likely be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?
- +$32.44at 0.002Will zekken play for NRG in 2027?
- +$26.69at 0.008Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 30% or more? | SELL | 0.049 | $3.01 |
| 11-01 18:28 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 0%-30%? | SELL | 0.081 | $1.62 |
| 11-01 13:32 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.36 |
| 11-01 13:32 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.62 |
| 11-01 11:21 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.16 |
| 11-01 01:14 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 10-31 13:16 | Will Rome Odunze be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.15 |
| 10-31 13:15 | Will Rome Odunze be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 10-31 08:05 | Will LeBron James win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 10-30 22:56 | Will Bradley Barcola score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 20:02 | Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.20 |
| 10-30 15:08 | Will Karin Podivinská be the next Mayor of Brno? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.03 |
| 10-30 10:01 | Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 8? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.15 |
| 10-30 05:10 | Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.07 |
| 10-30 01:29 | Will Denis Bouanga win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.19 |