PolyBot

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Traders

Dr.PNL

0xc602e34792d9a5e129f3404daef2df43d1d37fc1

Realised P&L
$-382.0k
Volume
$23.45M
Markets traded
35,415
Open portfolio
$119.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded35,415
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? · No0.7800.760$456.01$12.00
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.7800.745$443.26$20.82
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.7680.747$423.36$11.90
Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.7500.725$406.36$13.99
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? · No0.7800.755$405.96$13.44
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August? · No0.8300.750$403.90$43.08
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.9300.930$399.70+$0.00
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.6990.685$368.74$7.65
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8520.843$347.24$3.71
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7300.725$345.35$2.38
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7100.690$345.00$10.00
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? · Yes0.7340.700$340.42$16.49
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · No0.7600.825$329.93+$25.99
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August? · No0.7600.665$329.18$47.02
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · No0.7770.540$321.30$140.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:46Will Google Gemini be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?SELL0.71$138.44
09-17 02:54Will Lauren Stratman / Lindsey Newman advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.2923076923$7.60
09-17 02:40Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 18?SELL0.7$19.10
09-17 02:14Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?SELL0.449$8.98
09-17 01:26Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?SELL0.89$104.77
09-17 01:13Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.81$11.34
09-17 01:01Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?SELL0.6096672777$33.26
09-17 00:18Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Lions vs Bills game?SELL0.92$9.20
09-17 00:09Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?SELL0.88$6.15
09-17 00:02Will Genie Erokhina / Emma Nelson advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.22$4.40
09-17 00:00Will Angie Walker / Alex Walker advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.25$5.00
09-17 00:00Will Daria Walczak / Kiora Kunimoto advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.2$4.00
09-16 23:58Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.8$46.02
09-16 23:57Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.89$27.49
09-16 23:51Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?SELL0.9135733499$383.12