Unruly-Real
0xdeb369871dea34558c3d2069d768f5fcbd2e60cc
- Realised P&L
- $-70.09
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $118.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.80at 0.310Canada recession before 2027?
- +$13.25at 0.117Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$9.45at 0.370Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
- +$8.16at 0.120Nothing Ever Happens: March
- +$5.34at 0.330ECB rate hike in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 01:47 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999846 | $7.49 |
| 10-25 01:46 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.49 |
| 10-25 01:46 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8299998422 | $4.05 |
| 10-25 01:44 | Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-25 00:03 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.09 |
| 10-25 00:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 10-15 05:51 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999862 | $24.66 |
| 10-15 05:45 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? | SELL | 0.885 | $4.42 |
| 10-15 05:45 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.957 | $4.79 |
| 10-15 05:43 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $6.10 |
| 10-15 05:43 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 10-14 01:10 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999738 | $14.87 |
| 08-27 22:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $10.51 |
| 07-28 23:57 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8599999965 | $4.95 |
| 05-30 06:31 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.60 |