xixihaha009
0xf17db37ef4234b2b1b76b408a4d1d761d9136f86
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $195.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,349
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,349
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.40at 0.952Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-08?
- +$116.78at 0.167Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
- +$104.66at 0.462Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-08?
- +$103.82at 0.315Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$76.96at 0.255Maitland FC vs. Fremantle City FC: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:01 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.12 |
| 09-17 21:01 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027? | SELL | 0.72 | $18.00 |
| 09-17 20:45 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $166 in September? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 09-17 20:45 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in September? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.58 |
| 09-17 19:30 | Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3099999993 | $9.29 |
| 09-17 19:30 | Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 09-17 19:05 | Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-17 19:05 | Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 19:00 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.983 | $122.88 |
| 09-17 19:00 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.75 |
| 09-17 18:58 | Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 09-17 18:58 | Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3099999993 | $9.29 |
| 09-17 18:31 | Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.899 | $35.96 |
| 09-17 18:31 | Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 09-17 18:29 | Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.921 | $42.37 |