PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xixihaha009

0xf17db37ef4234b2b1b76b408a4d1d761d9136f86

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$195.5k
Markets traded
2,349
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,349
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? · No0.9680.967$285.11$0.52
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.9600.977$276.48+$4.81
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? · No0.9140.976$250.70+$15.79
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8940.935$216.19+$9.55
Linera FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.8820.925$184.99+$8.57
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8800.915$152.33+$5.81
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.9200.945$131.33+$3.47
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.8850.905$125.82+$2.81
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · No0.9700.973$118.64+$0.27
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9320.963$114.53+$3.63
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? · No0.8830.916$112.33+$4.04
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8980.905$106.79+$0.87
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9510.951$103.60$0.02
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? · No0.7210.790$103.45+$9.03
Will edgeX reach $1.80 before 2027? · No0.9000.920$101.19+$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:01Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?SELL0.35$2.12
09-17 21:01Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?SELL0.72$18.00
09-17 20:45Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $166 in September?BUY0.12$2.40
09-17 20:45Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in September?BUY0.86$2.58
09-17 19:30Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.3099999993$9.29
09-17 19:30Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.65$19.50
09-17 19:05Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?BUY0.31$1.55
09-17 19:05Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?BUY0.6$3.00
09-17 19:00Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?SELL0.983$122.88
09-17 19:00Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?SELL0.022$2.75
09-17 18:58Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.65$19.50
09-17 18:58Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.3099999993$9.29
09-17 18:31Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.899$35.96
09-17 18:31Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$4.80
09-17 18:29Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?SELL0.921$42.37