PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAC382928a693C9C342c92feD3552E260aaCfC565-1767706089048

0xac382928a693c9c342c92fed3552e260aacfc565

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$35.1k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$472.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? · Yes0.1210.090$369.28$129.43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? · Yes0.0550.031$29.57$22.89
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? · Yes0.0360.047$21.04+$4.70
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? · Yes0.0690.021$13.52$29.88
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · No0.7700.740$8.21$0.33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $10,000 (HIGH) in December? · Yes0.0260.035$6.90+$1.70
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,000 (HIGH) in December? · Yes0.0950.105$6.33+$0.63
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? · Yes0.1890.011$4.88$75.39
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.2030.041$3.65$14.59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? · Yes0.2000.024$2.86$20.94
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? · Yes0.0780.030$2.81$4.40
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · Yes0.2890.075$2.61$7.39
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? · Yes0.1140.015$0.72$4.70
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? · No0.2490.000$0.00$1.00
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3370.000$0.00$52.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 20:25Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.1185357879$133.41
09-12 20:18Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?BUY0.77$8.55
09-12 20:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.16$5.00
09-12 20:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.3599999971$5.00
09-12 19:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$42.00
09-12 19:56Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,000 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.0949991668$5.70
09-12 19:54Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $10,000 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.026$5.20
09-12 19:53Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.0365084651$16.35
09-12 19:52Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?BUY0.055$52.46
09-12 19:51Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.069$43.40
09-12 19:51Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?BUY0.079$2.06
09-12 19:50Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?BUY0.078$5.15
07-22 08:02Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.153$12.24
07-22 08:00Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?SELL0.13$13.00
07-22 07:59No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.020218$1.01