PolyBot

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Traders

Nmondrow

0x63fa4b7f50047a621b34e820b396fddbb948cbc0

Realised P&L
$-28.55
Volume
$918.20
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$28.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.8410.903$12.13+$0.83
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8800.961$12.01+$1.01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.155$2.21−$2.79
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.045$1.61−$13.39
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? · Yes0.8890.021$0.46−$19.54
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0310.001$0.08−$4.92
Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$5.00
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 05:15Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
07-28 05:13Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0307317122$5.00
05-23 05:26Israel closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.599999976$5.00
05-23 05:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
04-23 03:52Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
04-23 03:45Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.03$1.06
04-23 03:41Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$1.03
04-23 03:40Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.08$4.00
04-23 03:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.95$5.65
04-23 03:37US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?SELL0.83$5.00
04-12 03:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?BUY0.4899999804$4.80
04-12 03:09Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?SELL0.95$5.52
04-12 03:08Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?BUY0.179999928$2.00
04-12 03:06Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
04-12 03:05US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.8299992198$1.00