Nmondrow
0x63fa4b7f50047a621b34e820b396fddbb948cbc0
- Realised P&L
- $-28.55
- Volume
- $918.20
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $28.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · No | 0.841 | 0.903 | $12.13 | +$0.83 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.961 | $12.01 | +$1.01 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.155 | $2.21 | −$2.79 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.045 | $1.61 | −$13.39 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? · Yes | 0.889 | 0.021 | $0.46 | −$19.54 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$4.92 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.95at 0.374Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$7.52at 0.210Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$7.50at 0.750US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$5.38at 0.650Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
- +$5.00at 0.500Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 05:15 | Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:13 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0307317122 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 05:26 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 05:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 03:52 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 03:45 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.06 |
| 04-23 03:41 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.03 |
| 04-23 03:40 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 04-23 03:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.65 |
| 04-23 03:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.00 |
| 04-12 03:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $4.80 |
| 04-12 03:09 | Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.52 |
| 04-12 03:08 | Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 04-12 03:06 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 04-12 03:05 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |