0x55332464a4d4fae19956d740dddff103918251ba
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $9.27M
- Markets traded
- 8,910
- Open portfolio
- $756.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,910
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.77at 0.012Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026?
- +$88.67at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 29?
- +$84.38at 0.008Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$78.02at 0.006Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?
- +$75.06at 0.004Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on February 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 08-02 22:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.68 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.54 |
| 08-02 22:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.018 | $2.29 |
| 08-02 22:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 08-02 22:26 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.61 |
| 08-02 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.34 |
| 08-02 22:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.81 |
| 08-02 22:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.80 |
| 08-02 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 21:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.33 |
| 08-02 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.42 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.65 |
| 08-02 21:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 08-02 21:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | SELL | 0.033 | $3.84 |