PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x55332464a4d4fae19956d740dddff103918251ba

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$9.27M
Markets traded
8,910
Open portfolio
$756.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,910
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0030.011$20.56+$15.60
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0030.011$12.55+$8.96
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.0270.093$11.25+$8.00
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0020.006$8.73+$6.05
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? · Yes0.0030.007$8.68+$5.21
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.0020.005$7.98+$4.79
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31? · No0.0340.048$7.74+$2.15
Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1020.231$7.19+$4.02
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0070.009$7.06+$1.51
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0020.005$6.88+$4.13
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.053$6.63+$2.75
Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0510.089$6.50+$2.82
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.004$6.47+$1.40
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0030.005$6.32+$2.87
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.0120.027$6.29+$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:55Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 4?SELL0.03$0.15
08-02 22:54Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.003$1.68
08-02 22:46Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.039$0.54
08-02 22:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?SELL0.018$2.29
08-02 22:26Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.07$0.70
08-02 22:26Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?SELL0.03$2.61
08-02 22:22Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.017$0.34
08-02 22:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.03$1.81
08-02 22:14Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 4?BUY0.04$2.80
08-02 22:08Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 2?SELL0.03$2.10
08-02 21:58Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 4?SELL0.005$1.33
08-02 21:54Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 4?BUY0.03$0.42
08-02 21:51Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.05$1.65
08-02 21:47Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 2?BUY0.011$0.22
08-02 21:41Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2?SELL0.033$3.84