PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x55332464a4d4fae19956d740dddff103918251ba

Realised P&L
$4.8k
Volume
$13.24M
Markets traded
16,044
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16,044
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0150.205$34.14+$31.65
Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0050.011$16.34+$8.68
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0030.015$13.99+$11.11
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0070.015$11.06+$5.62
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2026 NFC West? · Yes0.0070.015$9.79+$5.17
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T? · Yes0.0130.068$8.56+$6.91
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0060.021$8.01+$5.67
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0150.021$7.58+$2.01
Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.0150.040$7.35+$4.56
Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.0090.025$7.28+$4.66
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0560.073$7.15+$1.64
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0060.018$6.99+$4.59
Will New People (NL) win 85 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0030.011$6.63+$4.90
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.007$6.53+$3.73
Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.004$6.30+$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:29Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 17?BUY0.07$0.84
09-17 04:16Will the Republicans win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?SELL0.107$6.46
09-17 04:14Will the Milwaukee Bucks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?BUY0.006$1.80
09-17 04:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?SELL0.003$0.31
09-17 04:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.05$0.75
09-17 04:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?BUY0.06$1.08
09-17 03:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?SELL0.01$0.10
09-17 03:58Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18?SELL0.02$0.72
09-17 03:26Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 17?BUY0.07$0.35
09-17 03:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?SELL0.01$0.10
09-17 03:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?SELL0.019$1.00
09-17 02:58Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 17?SELL0.02$0.10
09-17 02:35Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.05$1.83
09-17 02:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?BUY0.027$1.30
09-17 02:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?BUY0.021$0.10