PolyBot

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Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.966. up 0.007 over the period, from 0.959. Range 0.959 to 0.968. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9723636
0.9731046
0.974340386
0.975102488
0.99225513
0.99430543
0.9969,0639,606
0.99710,98420,590
0.99819,01339,602
0.99936,13975,741

Spread0.013Mid0.966

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.959159159
0.82150209
0.750139348
0.68010358
0.600139497
0.40183580
0.400139719
0.3901,6412,360
0.3501822,542
0.3402,3534,895
0.2902,7597,654
0.2504118,065

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.041159159
0.17950209
0.250139348
0.32010358
0.400139497
0.59983580
0.600139719
0.6101,6412,360
0.6501822,542
0.6602,3534,895
0.7102,7597,654
0.7504118,065

Spread0.013Mid0.035

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0283636
0.0271046
0.026340386
0.025102488
0.00825513
0.00630543
0.0049,0639,606
0.00310,98420,590
0.00219,01339,602
0.00136,13975,741

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
InterestingUserYes2,820.58
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50ABYes2,716.01
AMAM13Yes256.87
cry.eth2Yes149.99
GUINESS123Yes139
human.beanYes79.56
0x7618…e714Yes74.93
neutralwave23Yes65.46
nicoco89Yes57.87
GluedYes56
rx78Yes52.37
arnoldaguglielmoYes52
GamiolasYes30.03
2B9SYes30
sleepymonkeyYes26
0x7009…390aYes23.9
Elias.ThornwellYes21.62
Hot-SkullYes20
a5tthsyuo3cYes19.84
PX5300Yes14.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:30:28SELLYes0.9596$5.63
20:15:16SELLYes0.9596$5.87
18:43:03SELLYes0.9597$6.79
18:59:36SELLNo0.0420$0.80
17:23:42SELLNo0.04287$11.46
13:06:42SELLYes0.949114$108.55
05:53:18BUYYes0.94999999530$28.53
22:34:04SELLNo0.05547$27.33
22:19:55SELLYes0.9466$6.11
22:26:42BUYNo0.05713$0.75
22:26:40BUYNo0.05721$1.20
22:26:39BUYNo0.05730$1.71
22:26:39BUYNo0.0578$0.44
22:26:39BUYNo0.05710$0.57
08:09:01SELLNo0.053797650$2.69
08:08:21SELLNo0.05450$2.70
08:07:49SELLNo0.05450$2.70
06:04:09SELLYes0.942$1.92
21:31:30SELLYes0.9393$2.88
15:27:18SELLYes0.9395$4.69
06:52:42SELLNo0.05420$1.08
15:50:37SELLNo0.05424$1.30
12:51:03SELLNo0.05415$0.81
02:46:04SELLNo0.055120$6.60
02:29:15SELLNo0.05540$2.20