PolyBot

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Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.895. down 0.031 over the period, from 0.926. Range 0.891 to 0.931. 148 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9197676
0.92060136
0.92220156
0.92460216
0.9367224
0.93720244
0.940436679
0.95812691
0.95920711
0.96020731
0.9665736
0.9674351,172

Spread0.047Mid0.895

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8726060
0.86972132
0.86680212
0.750133345
0.600139484
0.400139623
0.25183706
0.250139846
0.1815521,398
0.18011,11112,509
0.14017,85730,366
0.091730,373

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1286060
0.13172132
0.13480212
0.250133345
0.400139484
0.600139623
0.74983706
0.750139846
0.8195521,398
0.82011,11112,509
0.86017,85730,366
0.909730,373

Spread0.047Mid0.105

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0817676
0.08060136
0.07820156
0.07660216
0.0647224
0.06320244
0.060436679
0.04212691
0.04120711
0.04020731
0.0345736
0.0334351,172

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SnapElectionAvoiderYes2,777.53
richarddYes1,934.89
Arman2Yes915.29
neverhackmeYes600
ancianoYes200
Rex416Yes150
richyeeYes150
GUINESS123Yes139
liq2Yes128
aHjCzYes114.1
galhammermanYes88
human.beanYes79.56
neutralwave23Yes65.46
nicoco89Yes57.87
GluedYes56
rx78Yes52.37
0x42931Cf0915B23fD4df2ed880a12c0D85E83fBDc-1776171988337Yes52.21
ArealgoodYes40.8
0x71ac…e8e5Yes40
2B9SYes30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:16:37BUYYes0.866525536695$81.95
13:10:04BUYNo0.11422$2.46
13:10:04BUYNo0.113999996722$2.46
13:10:04SELLYes0.89393$82.96
05:26:45SELLYes0.8943$2.25
05:26:03SELLYes0.8943$2.25
16:35:54SELLYes0.8932$2.13
22:53:52BUYYes0.89825$22.87
02:30:41SELLNo0.10644$4.68
00:50:48SELLNo0.1061$0.13
18:36:29BUYYes0.8955$4.47
10:12:41SELLYes0.89427$23.91
10:11:32SELLYes0.8943$2.91
10:01:05BUYYes0.9165$4.58
07:09:45SELLYes0.8942$1.56
15:05:35SELLYes0.90320$18.06
14:50:27SELLYes0.90320$18.06
10:11:23SELLYes0.9127$6.75
10:11:21SELLYes0.91380213937$34.18
08:20:23BUYYes0.92540$37.00
03:42:56SELLYes0.92437$33.93
03:42:00BUYNo0.08220$1.64
03:41:57SELLYes0.927533834692$85.12
17:20:50SELLYes0.91420$18.28
16:42:05BUYYes0.93617$15.91