neutralwave23
0x5b6331e7ff0831a3fe2ed12004747db1a9c911a4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.95M
- Volume
- $136.88M
- Markets traded
- 164,278
- Open portfolio
- $232.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded164,278
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$219.0kat 0.250Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$169.2kat 0.267Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$156.8kat 0.306Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
- +$116.4kat 0.547Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$91.5kat 0.746Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.989 | $753.46 |
| 09-17 02:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.998 | $754.67 |
| 09-17 02:22 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.3973259798 | $118.87 |
| 09-17 02:22 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.3011880779 | $27.69 |
| 09-17 02:21 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $9.55 |
| 09-17 02:20 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | BUY | 0.6099999777 | $9.31 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.620021108 | $18.64 |
| 09-17 02:16 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $174.67 |
| 09-17 02:15 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.6099999777 | $9.31 |
| 09-17 02:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999885 | $9.03 |
| 09-17 02:15 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.4499999805 | $9.23 |
| 09-17 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.75 |
| 09-17 02:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $9.44 |
| 09-17 02:08 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.3099999912 | $9.17 |
| 09-17 02:07 | Solana Up or Down - September 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $7.71 |