PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x42931Cf0915B23fD4df2ed880a12c0D85E83fBDc-1776171988337

0x42931cf0915b23fd4df2ed880a12c0d85e83fbdc

Realised P&L
$7.39
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$189.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · No0.9610.968$52.95+$0.36
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · No0.9420.946$47.27+$0.17
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.9730.895$46.75−$4.05
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? · No0.9670.739$39.68−$12.24
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9810.983$3.15+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-16 07:41Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.995$19.90