PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

richyee

0xcdf5d708feab46b07ca2e804a566fcbe267be344

Realised P&L
$-19.2k
Volume
$1.59M
Markets traded
10,447
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,447
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.8750.870$173.99−$1.00
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.9130.897$134.63−$2.32
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · No0.8910.855$128.25−$5.44
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher? · No0.8840.835$126.08−$7.43
Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH) · No0.9400.934$93.45−$0.55
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · No0.9200.895$89.71−$2.48
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027? · No0.8950.889$88.90−$0.60
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.8820.861$85.36−$2.09
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? · No0.8730.845$84.50−$2.77
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? · No0.8750.885$84.48+$0.93
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? · Yes0.9000.845$83.58−$5.44
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? · No0.8950.765$76.50−$13.00
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · No0.8700.710$69.98−$15.77
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by December 31? · Yes0.9350.695$69.50−$24.00
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"? · No0.8830.850$68.85−$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 08:52Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?SELL0.057$0.68
10-15 07:38Will the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?SELL0.041$1.23
10-15 06:47S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on October 15?SELL0.001$0.05
10-15 05:55Will Miguel Vargas win the 2026 World Series MVP?SELL0.001$0.05
10-15 04:59Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 World Series MVP?SELL0.01$0.50
10-15 04:33Will Marlon Humphrey finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?SELL0.0031294$0.16
10-15 04:25Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $159 Week of October 12 2026?SELL0.001$0.05
10-15 04:23Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 Week of October 12 2026?SELL0.002$0.10
10-15 04:12Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 13?SELL0.01$0.29
10-15 04:09Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 13?SELL0.02$0.42
10-15 03:53Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?SELL0.06$3.00
10-15 02:39Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?SELL0.02$1.00
10-15 02:37Will "Ice Age: Collision Course" be the top global Netflix movie this week?SELL0.0028$0.14
10-15 02:30Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?SELL0.02$0.98
10-15 02:30Will Amber Glenn be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?SELL0.02$1.00