PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Glued

0x9dd9e18b9dcc393705e73966bc79eccbbd9108bd

Realised P&L
$41.2k
Volume
$12.09M
Markets traded
30,038
Open portfolio
$58.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded30,038
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2750.810$1.9k+$1.2k
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No0.6900.935$1.7k+$442.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6690.935$1.2k+$346.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3760.855$1.1k+$604.07
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat? · Yes0.8990.954$913.45+$51.75
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.7300.968$836.89+$205.61
Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · No0.7250.999$827.76+$226.73
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.5620.999$796.83+$348.20
Celonis IPO before 2027? · No0.6410.958$785.15+$259.48
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? · Yes0.7650.685$656.91$76.54
Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat? · Yes0.8480.925$636.40+$52.85
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.3410.930$587.98+$372.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5170.930$570.09+$253.11
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.6920.945$568.89+$152.22
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes0.8760.966$557.09+$51.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 01:50Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?BUY0.23$2.30
07-26 20:57Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?SELL0.043$0.17
07-26 20:56Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?SELL0.31$10.23
07-26 20:56Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?SELL0.884$6.19
07-26 20:51Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?SELL0.83$9.13
07-25 12:17Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?SELL0.72$4.32
07-23 20:43Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.998$0.99
07-19 19:40Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?SELL0.998$37.92
07-19 19:40Will Dominick Pangallo be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?SELL0.9971937474$48.48
07-19 13:45Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?SELL0.998$24.95
07-18 11:33Will Dan Innis be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?SELL0.999$29.97
07-18 11:33Will Tom Leonard win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.999$8.99
07-18 11:33Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.999$1.00
07-15 22:21Will there be less than 85m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?SELL0.994$9.94
07-15 22:21Will there be between 85m and 90m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?SELL0.996$9.96