PolyBot

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Traders

Arman2

0x9453a389c73df7991249d9f2c6e2c854157b1a48

Realised P&L
$-12.6k
Volume
$3.04M
Markets traded
646
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded646
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 14:02Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.128257688$40.00
09-21 14:01Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999996$100.00
09-21 14:01Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5999999992$146.00
09-21 13:35Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.13$130.00
09-21 13:21CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?BUY0.52$26.00
09-21 13:03CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?BUY0.53$29.15
09-21 08:49Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.1297550562$400.85
09-21 06:30Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.12490985$249.82
09-21 02:47Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.29$58.00
09-20 22:54Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.28$89.94
09-20 22:45Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.27$270.00
09-20 22:26Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.25$71.71
09-20 19:25Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.11$26.21
09-20 18:46Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?SELL0.08$40.30
09-20 18:45CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?BUY0.582034531$100.00